Belgium and Italy are set to clash in a crucial UEFA Nations League match on Thursday at the Stade Roi Baudouin in Brussels. This encounter holds significant implications for both teams as they vie for a spot in the quarter-finals of the competition.
Italy currently leads Group A2 with 10 points from four matches, while Belgium sits in third place with just 4 points. The situation for both teams is clear: Italy needs only a draw to secure their place in the quarter-finals, while Belgium must win to keep their hopes of progression alive.
The Red Devils have struggled in their recent outings. Their only victory in the group stage came against Israel (3-1) in September. Their last match resulted in a 2-1 defeat against France, despite a goal from Lois Openda.
In contrast, Italy has been in impressive form under new coach Luciano Spalletti. They’ve accumulated 10 points from a possible 12, including a notable comeback victory against France and a comfortable 4-1 win over Israel.
The recent history between these two sides favors Italy. Belgium hasn’t defeated Italy in a competitive match since 1972. Their last encounter in October ended in a 2-2 draw, with Belgium mounting a comeback against 10-man Italy.
Despite the absences, Tedesco is likely to maintain his preferred 3-4-3 formation. The focus will be on utilizing Lukaku’s strength up front, supported by the pace of players like Trossard and Bakayoko on the wings.
Spalletti has implemented a dynamic 3-5-2 system that has proven effective. The Italian side has shown adaptability and resilience, particularly evident in their comeback against France.
For Belgium, Romelu Lukaku’s return could be crucial for their attacking threat, while Lois Openda has shown promise and could be a key factor. For Italy, Mateo Retegui, the Serie A top scorer, will be looking to continue his fine form, and Gianluigi Donnarumma, at just 25 years old, will be vital in organizing the defense.
Team News
Domenico Tedesco’s squad is plagued by injuries and withdrawals. Key absences include Kevin De Bruyne (captain), Thomas Meunier, Jeremy Doku, and Youri Tielemans. However, Romelu Lukaku returns to the fold after missing the previous international break.
Luciano Spalletti also faces some selection challenges for Italy. Riccardo Calafiori and Samuele Ricci are injured, while Lorenzo Pellegrini has been dropped from the squad. Manuel Locatelli and Nicolo Rovella have been called up as midfield options.
Expected Starting XIs
Belgium: Casteels; Castagne, Debast, Faes, Theate; Mangala, Onana, Vermeeren; Bakayoko, Lukaku, Trossard
Italy: Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Buongiorno, Bastoni; Cambiaso, Barella, Locatelli, Tonali, Dimarco; Raspadori; Retegui
Match Prediction
Given Italy’s strong form and Belgium’s injury woes, the Azzurri are slight favorites. However, Belgium’s need for a win and home advantage could make this a closely contested match. A 1-1 draw seems a likely outcome, which would be enough to see Italy through to the quarter-finals.
This match promises to be an intriguing tactical battle between two sides with contrasting recent fortunes in international football. The result could have significant implications for both teams’ Nations League campaigns and their broader international standing.
